New Zealand vs. Philippines odds, pick

New Zealand’s win over Norway in the World Cup curtain-raiser is the biggest shock of the tournament so far.

The Football Ferns got as high as +900 in the buildup to that match but were able to eke out a 1-0 victory to send their island nation into a tizzy.

It was a monumental result for the co-hosts, not just because it was their first-ever win at a Women’s World Cup, but because it completely flipped Group A on its head.

New Zealand vs. Philippines prediction

(1:30 a.m. ET. FS1)

Norway was the group’s odds-on favorite, but now it’s New Zealand in the driver’s seat since they’re massive favorites in their second match against the Philippines early on Tuesday (1:30 a.m. ET).

But just like there were some tactical nuances that pointed to an upset for New Zealand against Norway, there are some similar signals in this match.

As a team, New Zealand lacks game-breaking talent and thus seems to be most comfortable sitting deep and playing on the counter.

That style of play works against teams like Norway, who like to have possession, but adjustments will be needed against the Philippines, who will throw everyone behind the ball and force New Zealand to break down their low blocks.

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The Football Ferns could struggle to create anything going forward, but should also keep things tidy in their own end. This match has the right ingredients for a bet on the draw.

THE PLAY: New Zealand-Philippines, Draw +380 (FanDuel)